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Salford Business School Professor Phil Scarf

Professor of Applied Statistics

Directorate: Business Operations

Email
p.a.scarf@salford.ac.uk
Phone
0161 295 3817
Office
Maxwell 615
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Professor Phil Scarf

Professor Scarf has wide ranging interests in the application of statistical modelling in sport, reliability and maintenance, and corrosion engineering. He organises conferences on Mathematics in Sport (www.ima.org.uk/Conferences/3rd_maths_sport/index.html) and Maintenance Modelling (www.ima.org.uk/Conferences/7th_mimar/index.html). He has advised the FA Premier League regarding football player rating, and has held EPSRC grants relating to development of optimum strategy in track cycling, and modelling of the training process. He is editor of the IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (http://imaman.oxfordjournals.org/).

Qualifications

B.Sc.(Sheffield), Ph.D.(Manchester), FIMA, FSS, CMath, CSci

Teaching

Courses taught: MSc: Research Methods; Statistical Inference; OR and Statistics Workshop.

Research

Recent publications

  • M.D. Berrade, P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante (2012) Maintenance scheduling of a protection system subject to imperfect inspection and replacement. European Journal of Operational Research 218, 716-725.
  • P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante (2012) Modelling quality in replacement and inspection maintenance. International Journal of Production Economics 135, 372-381.
  • K. Zhang, Y. Li, P.A. Scarf & A.Ball (2011) Feature selection using multiple models and radial basis function networks for rotating machinery fault diagnosis. Neurocomputing 74, 2941-2952
  • P.A. Scarf & H. Al-Majid (2011) Modelling warranty extensions: a case study in the automotive industry. Proceedings of the Institute of Mechanical Engineers part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability 225, 251-265.
  • C.A.V. Cavalcante, P.A.Scarf & A de Almeida (2011) A study of a two-phase inspection policy for a preparedness system with a defective state and heterogeneous lifetime. Reliab.Eng.Sys.Safety 69, 627-635.
  • P.A. Scarf & S. Akhtar (2011) An analysis of strategy in the first three innings in test cricket: declaration and the follow-on. Journal of the Operational Research Society 62, 1931-1940.
  • P.A. Scarf & M. Mat Yusof (2011) A numerical study of tournament structure and seeding policy for the soccer World Cup Finals. Statistica Neerlandica 65, 43-57.
  • P.A. Scarf, X. Shi & S. Akhtar (2011) The distribution of runs scored and batting strategy in test cricket. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A 174, 471-497.
  • I. McHale & P.A. Scarf (2011) Modelling the dependence of goals scored by opposing teams in international soccer matches. Statistical Modelling 11, 219-236.
  • N.J.Laycock, P.J.Laycock, P.A.Scarf and D.P.Krouse (2010) Applications of Statistical Analysis Techniques in Corrosion Experimentation, Testing, Inspection and Monitoring. In Richardson J.A. et al. (eds.) Schreir's Corrosion, volume 2, pp.1547-1580 Amsterdam, Elsevier.
  • P. A. Scarf & C Cavalcante (2010) Hybrid block replacement and inspection policies for a multi-component system with heterogeneous component lives. European Journal of Operational Research 206, 384-394.
  • P.A. Scarf, C Cavalcante, R Dwight & P. Gordon (2009) An age based inspection and replacement policy for heterogeneous components, IEEE Transactions on Reliability 58, 641-648.
  • S.A. Jobson, L Passfield, G. Atkinson, G. Barton & P.A.Scarf (2009) The analysis and utilisation of cycling training data. Sports Medicine 39, 833-844.
  • P.A. Scarf, M. Mat Yusof & M. Bilbao (2009) A numerical study of designs for sporting contests. European Journal of Operational Research 198, 190-198.
  • P.A.Scarf & J.C. Hartman (2008) Replacement of capital equipment, in Complex System Maintenance Handbook (D.N.P Murthy & K.A.H. Kobbacy, eds.), Springer, pp.287-319.
  • P.A.Scarf (2008) Maintenance modeling and management. In Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Assessment and Analysis, Melnick, E. and Everitt, B. (eds), Wiley, Chichester, UK, pp. 1023-1029.
  • P.A. Scarf (2008) A mathematical excursion in the isochronic hills. Mathematics Today 44, 163-167 (August).
  • P.A. Scarf & X. Shi (2008) The importance of a match in a tournament. Computers and Operations Research 35, 2406-2418.
  • D.F. Percy & P.A. Scarf (2008) On the development of decision rules for bar quiz handicapping. Journal of the Operational Research Society 59, 1406-1414.
  • I. McHale & P.A. Scarf (2007) Modelling soccer matches using bivariate discrete distributions with general dependence structure. Statistica Neerlandica 61, 432-445.
  • P.A. Scarf, R. Dwight, A. McCusker & A. Chan. (2007) Asset replacement for an urban railway using a modified two-cycle replacement model, Journal of the Operational Research Society 58, 1123-1137.
  • P.A. Scarf (2007) Route choice in mountain navigation, Naismith's rule and the equivalence of distance and climb, Journal of Sports Sciences 25, 719-726.
  • P.A. Scarf (2007) A framework for condition monitoring and condition based maintenance, Quality Technology and Quantitative Management Journal 4, 145-156.
  • R. Baker & P.A. Scarf (2006) Modelling the outcomes of annual sporting contests, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C 55, 225-239.
  • P.A. Scarf & P. Grehan (2005) An empirical basis for route choice in cycling, Journal of Sports Sciences 23, 919-925.
  • P.A. Scarf & X. Shi (2005) Modelling match outcomes and decision support for setting a final innings target in test cricket, IMA Journal Management Mathematics 16, 161-178.
  • P.A. Scarf & I.McHale (2005) Ranking football players, Significance 2, 54-57.

Older highly cited publications (>10 citations on Thomson Reuters Web of Science)

  • P.A. Scarf & M. Deara (2003) Block replacement policies for a two-component system with failure dependence, Naval Research Logistics 50, 70-87.
  • W. Wang, P.A. Scarf & M. Smith (2000) On the application of a model of condition based maintenance, Journal of the Operational Research Society 51, 1218-1227.
  • R. Dekker & P.A. Scarf (1998) On the impact of optimisation models in maintenance decision making: state of the art, Reliability Engineering & System Safety 60, 111-119.
  • P.A. Scarf (1997) On the application of mathematical models in maintenance, European Journal of Operational Research 99, 493-506.
  • P.A. Scarf & P.J. Laycock (1996) Estimation of extremes in corrosion engineering, Journal of Applied Statistics 23, 621-643.
  • A.H. Christer & P.A.Scarf (1994) A robust replacement model with applications to medical equipment, Journal of the Operational Research Society 45, 261-275.
  • P.A.Scarf, R.A. Cottis & P.J. Laycock (1992) Extrapolation of extreme pit depths in space and time using the r deepest pit depths, Journal of the Electrochemical Society 139, 2621-2627.
  • R.A. Cottis, P.J. Laycock & P.A. Scarf (1990) Extrapolation of extreme pit depths in space and time, Journal of the Electrochemical Society 137, 64-69.